7
Jolek Lises
7yo Gelding · 9-13
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Des Amateurs Handicap · 1m 7f 144y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Pornichet | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 22/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 18/02/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 21% | -0.05 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |