Valkana
5yo Filly · 10-4
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Des Amateurs Handicap · 1m 7f 144y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 8.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 02/08/2024 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 14/12/2024 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |
| 08/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |