4
Vikthor
4yo Gelding · 10-12
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Des Amateurs Handicap · 1m 7f 144y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength84%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 22/10/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/11/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 02/03/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/03/2026 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.20 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |