Allurre
7yo Mare · 8-8
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De L'esplanade Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 14th | 12th | +2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 01/12/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 23/12/2025 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/02/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 23/03/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |