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Cleod'or

9yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 80

Lyon-Parilly · Prix De L'esplanade Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

75%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength77%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lyon La Soie 02/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 80 · 1m2f151y Std 130 · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 80 par2/034OR 803 @ Chantilly 12/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m1f97y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 80 par3 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0434 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 80 · 7f209y Sft 131 · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 80 par2 @ Marseille-borely 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS18/0522 @ Lyon-Parilly 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ ParisLongchamp 14/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS14/0724 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 1m1f207y GS 132 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 80 par3 @ Vichy 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Vichy31st0th+1
2026-07-23Vichy43rd3rd0
2026-07-14ParisLongchamp28th6th+2
2026-06-22Lyon-Parilly25th3rd+2
2026-05-18Marseille-borely22nd0th+2
2026-04-29Lyon-Parilly48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0329/0414/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/03/20266th13/266%50%-0.16
12/03/20266th11/271%44%-0.27
13/04/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
29/04/20268th9/153%22%-0.30
18/05/20262nd25/10%92%+0.92
22/06/20265th20/10%67%+0.67
14/07/20268th9/153%46%-0.06
23/07/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
03/09/20261st7/163%100%+0.37