Deep Sea
8yo Mare · 8-8
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De L'esplanade Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 14th | 12th | +2 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 22/07/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 09/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 03/08/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |