8
Nous Trois
3yo Filly · 8-12
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Black Dancer Maiden Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Argentan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 29/01/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |