6

Le Combat Continue
5yo Filly · 8-11
Lyon-Parilly · Gp Des Provinces Listed Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | 1 | 15th | 15th | −0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Le Lion D'angers | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 23/08/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |