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10

Lily Ofthe Kingdon

5yo Filly · 8-2

Lyon-Parilly · Fondation Claude Pompidou Handicap · 7f 209y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pau 18/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 13318/0144 @ Pau 28/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1274 @ Pau 08/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1228/0244 @ Lyon La Soie 11/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 124C0 @ La Teste De Buch 01/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1271/04C?4 @ Lyon-Parilly 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1224 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12229/0444 @ La Teste De Buch 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1314 @ Dax 29/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12229/064projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Dax48th8th0
2026-06-11La Teste De Buch47th7th0
2026-04-29Lyon-Parilly413th13th0
2026-04-18Lyon-Parilly44th4th0
2026-04-01La Teste De Buch?6th6th0
2026-03-11Lyon La Soie49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0111/0329/0429/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/01/20266th40/10%58%+0.58
28/01/20262nd20/10%92%+0.92
08/02/20267th10/147%60%+0.13
11/03/20269th14/126%33%+0.07
01/04/20266th9/153%67%+0.14
18/04/20264th15/261%75%+0.14
29/04/202613th6/168%8%-0.61
11/06/20267th17/255%54%-0.01
29/06/20268th12/137%46%+0.09