8
Night Of The Opera
9yo Gelding · 8-7
Lyon-Parilly · Fondation Claude Pompidou Handicap · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 05/01/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 27/01/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.21 |
| 15/02/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |