11
Amore Mia
4yo Filly · 8-9
Lyon-Parilly · Le Charly's - Prix Du Paddock Handicap · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 9% | -0.33 |
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 13/05/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |