Boavista
4yo Filly · 9-2
Lyon-Parilly · Le Charly's - Prix Du Paddock Handicap · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 08/08/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |