12
Joyeuse De Romay
7yo Mare · 8-9
Lyon-Parilly · Le Charly's - Prix Du Paddock Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 23% | -0.19 |
| 08/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.02 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |