1
Redsia Fal
4yo Filly · 9-6
Lyon-Parilly · Le Charly's - Prix Du Paddock Handicap · 7f 209y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 27/02/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/05/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |