7
Rekhale
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Lyon-Parilly · Le Charly's - Prix Du Paddock Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 47% | -0.38 |
| 03/03/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 23% | -0.53 |
| 10/04/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 23% | -0.51 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 79% | +0.18 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |