10
Secret Feeling
7yo Mare · 8-10
Lyon-Parilly · Le Charly's - Prix Du Paddock Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 13/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 11/07/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 08/09/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |