6
Xarun
9yo Gelding · 9-1
Lyon-Parilly · Le Charly's - Prix Du Paddock Handicap · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.07 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |
| 03/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |