3
Chloe's Courage
4yo Filly · 11-5
Market Rasen · Market Rasen Racecourse Conference & Events Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y
#3
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-08-24 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 6 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-28 | Yarmouth | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newmarket | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 12/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 22/01/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |