8
Sweet Cicely
4yo Filly · 11-5
Market Rasen · Market Rasen Racecourse Conference & Events Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y
#7
Rank
Odds
300/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Sedgefield | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 6 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength3%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 15/04/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/08/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |