3
Blue To Blue
3yo Gelding · 11-2
Market Rasen · Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Site Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Haydock | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamilton | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 27/06/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 11/08/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 03/09/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |