6
Steel Fixer
3yo Gelding · 11-2
Market Rasen · Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Site Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y
#6
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-06-12 | Market Rasen | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Hexham | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 6 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 5 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 13/09/2025 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/09/2025 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |