2
Vietnorm
3yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 108
Market Rasen · Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Site Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Cartmel | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 6 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-06-12 | Market Rasen | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Beverley | 6 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ripon | 6 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 02/12/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 8/15 | 97% | 43% | -0.54 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |