3
Fringill Dike
9yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 127
Market Rasen · Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 5f 89y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Market Rasen | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Market Rasen | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aintree | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Perth | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Kempton | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Kelso | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 20/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |