Sure Touch
10yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 132
Market Rasen · Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 5f 89y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Bangor-on-Dee | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Worcester | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Market Rasen | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Bangor-on-Dee | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Market Rasen | 1 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 15/03/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 11/04/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 19/07/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 05/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 16/5 | 83% | 100% | +0.17 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |