9

Fast Deal

9yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 64

Market Rasen · Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 191y

#7

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't shown much for a long time now and is easy enough to oppose from out of the weights again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Huntingdon 02/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 72 · 2m104y GS 142 · beat its mark02/01/2025 · OR 72 par2/015OR 725 @ Market Rasen 20/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 69 · 2m1f43y Gd 147 · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Market Rasen 16/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 65 · 2m5f89y Gd 142 · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 65 par16/085OR 655 @ Cartmel 23/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 65 · 2m5f34y Gd 142 · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 65 par5 @ Cartmel 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 65 · 3m1f107y Gd 142 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 65 par23/055OR 655 @ Market Rasen 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 2m3f34y Gd 142 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Cartmel 20/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 64 · 2m5f34y Gd 142 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 64 par20/075OR 645 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 64 · 2m5f89y Gd 142 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 64 · 2m5f34y Goo 142 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 64 par29/085OR 64projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel59th9th0
2026-08-15Market Rasen56th6th0
2026-07-20Cartmel56th6th0
2026-06-12Market Rasen56th6th0
2026-05-23Cartmel58th8th0
2025-12-26Market Rasen50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0123/0820/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20255th40/10%33%+0.33
20/04/20257th50/10%14%+0.14
16/08/20258th33/10%0%0.00
23/08/20256th40/10%17%+0.17
23/05/20268th125/10%13%+0.13
12/06/20266th250/10%0%0.00
20/07/20266th250/10%38%+0.38
15/08/20266th50/10%0%0.00
29/08/20269th66/10%20%+0.20