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3

Galway Reel

7yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 95

Market Rasen · Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 191y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/11

Win Prob

44%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Benefited from a strong pace when opening his account in this corresponding event last year and returned to form reverting to this sphere when 1¾ lengths second of 9 to reopposing Huckleberry Sting over C&D in July. Since made a notable yard switch and is also now 12 lb better off with that rival.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ludlow 04/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 90 · 2m7f174y Goo 154 · beat its mark04/12/2024 · OR 90 par4/125OR 905 @ Ludlow 11/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 91 · 2m7f174y Gd 166 · below its mark11/05/2025 · OR 91 par5 @ Market Rasen 13/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 91 · 2m7f16y Gd 165 · below its mark13/06/2025 · OR 91 par13/065OR 915 @ Worcester 31/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 89 · 2m7f Gd 157 · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 89 par5 @ Market Rasen 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 87 · 2m7f191y Gd 156 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 87 par27/095OR 875 @ Worcester 15/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 90 · 2m7f Gd 154 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 90 par5 @ Leicester 04/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 90 · 2m6f151y Goo 158 · beat its mark04/12/2025 · OR 90 par4/125OR 905 @ Uttoxeter 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 88 · 2m7f70y Gd 152 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 88 par5 @ Market Rasen 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 93 · 2m7f191y Gd 156 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 93 par5/075OR 93projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Market Rasen52nd2nd0
2026-05-24Uttoxeter50
2026-05-16Uttoxeter52nd2nd0
2025-12-04Leicester52nd2nd0
2025-10-15Worcester58th8th0
2025-09-27Market Rasen51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1231/084/125/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength95%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/12/20242nd9/276%83%+0.07
11/05/20252nd9/276%67%-0.10
13/06/20256th5/174%38%-0.36
31/08/20253rd13/266%75%+0.09
27/09/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
15/10/20258th9/488%13%-0.76
04/12/20252nd9/153%80%+0.27
16/05/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01
05/07/20262nd11/486%88%+0.02