7
Hardy Buck
8yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 76
Market Rasen · Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 191y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Worcester | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Hereford | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-22 | Huntingdon | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Taunton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Exeter | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/06/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/08/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 31/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |