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Huckleberry Sting

7yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 98

Market Rasen · Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 191y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Strong-travelling sort who made it 2 wins from as many visits to Market Rasen in 6-runner handicap chase (21f) in August, hard held. Came unstuck from a 6 lb higher mark at Stratford subsequently, reverting to finding less than seemed likely, but can't be taken lightly back at this venue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 18/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 75 · 2m4f88y Sft 143 · beat its mark18/02/2026 · OR 75 par18/025OR 755 @ Huntingdon 11/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 75 · 2m4f145y Goo 148 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 18/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 74 · 3m30y Goo 145 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 74 par18/045OR 745 @ Southwell 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 3m60y Gd 155 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 84 par5 @ Southwell 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 3m60y Goo 153 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 84 par9/065OR 845 @ Market Rasen 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 84 · 2m7f191y Gd 147 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 84 par5 @ Worcester 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 84 · 2m7f Goo 161 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 84 par16/075OR 845 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 2m5f89y Gd 160 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 92 par5 @ Stratford 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 98 · 2m6f125y Goo 168 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 98 par5/095OR 98projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Stratford54th4th0
2026-08-15Market Rasen51st1st0
2026-07-16Worcester52nd2nd0
2026-07-05Market Rasen51st1st0
2026-06-09Southwell53rd3rd0
2026-05-11Southwell52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0211/0516/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength84%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/02/20267th11/486%40%-0.46
11/03/20267th10/147%54%+0.06
18/04/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
11/05/20262nd5/493%83%-0.10
09/06/20263rd13/891%67%-0.25
05/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
16/07/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
15/08/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
05/09/20264th3/184%67%-0.18