Ribeye
11yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 97
Market Rasen · Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 191y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Market Rasen | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Market Rasen | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Hexham | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-10 | Sedgefield | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-17 | Market Rasen | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-11-29 | Newcastle | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 10/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |