10

Battle Stride

4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 74

Market Rasen · 10 Pound County Racedays Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 140y

#8

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains winless and he was pulled up on the back of another breathing operation at Stratford (2m, good to firm) 3 weeks ago. Easily passed over.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 09/10/2024 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f Sta 1309/1055 @ Southwell 21/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m13y Std 1336 @ Wolverhampton 28/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 51 · 1m4f51y Std 129 · beat its mark28/04/2025 · OR 51 par28/046OR 516 @ Bath 14/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 51 · 1m2f37y Fm 131 · below its mark14/05/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Wolverhampton 03/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 51 · 1m4f51y Std 127 · beat its mark03/06/2025 · OR 51 par3/066OR 514 @ Uttoxeter 27/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Stratford 06/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS6/1044 @ Warwick 04/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Uttoxeter 15/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m7f168y Hvy 145 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 87 par15/115OR 87projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Stratford50
2026-07-15Uttoxeter50
2025-11-15Uttoxeter55th5th0
2025-11-04Warwick410th9th+1
2025-10-06Stratford44th3rd+1
2025-07-27Uttoxeter48th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1014/056/1015/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength26%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/202412th80/10%15%+0.15
21/11/20248th80/10%13%+0.13
28/04/20253rd2/189%67%-0.23
14/05/202510th17/255%0%-0.55
03/06/20255th13/266%20%-0.46
27/07/20258th150/10%30%+0.30
06/10/20254th80/10%40%+0.40
04/11/202510th200/10%31%+0.31
15/11/20255th40/10%20%+0.20