11

Cosmic Spirit

4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 66

Market Rasen · 10 Pound County Racedays Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 140y

#11

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Poor maiden who has finished well beaten on all his 3 runs this season.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 8.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f36y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS17/0345 @ Wolverhampton 07/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f36y Std 1284 @ Warwick 04/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 2m Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS4/1144 @ Kempton 24/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Wincanton 15/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f50y Sft 149 · HIGHER CLASS15/0145 @ Huntingdon 19/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m7f171y Hvy 145 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Stratford 16/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 76 · 2m70y Goo 147 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 76 par16/065OR 765 @ Worcester 19/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 71 · 2m4f Gd 142 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Worcester 10/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 69 · 2m4f Gd 142 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 69 par10/095OR 69projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Worcester59th9th0
2026-08-19Worcester57th7th0
2026-06-16Stratford511th11th0
2026-02-19Huntingdon59th9th0
2026-01-15Wincanton410th9th+1
2025-11-24Kempton48th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0324/1116/0610/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength10%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20257th200/10%0%0.00
07/04/20259th250/10%20%+0.20
04/11/202513th300/10%8%+0.08
24/11/20258th400/10%22%+0.22
15/01/202610th300/10%0%0.00
19/02/20269th66/10%0%0.00
16/06/202611th66/10%9%+0.09
19/08/20267th100/10%14%+0.14
10/09/20269th150/10%11%+0.11