Dream Jet
8yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 96
Market Rasen · 10 Pound County Racedays Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 140y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Bangor-on-Dee | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Stratford | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Hexham | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Hexham | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Newcastle | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 11/12/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |