4

Finjimk

4yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 91

Market Rasen · 10 Pound County Racedays Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 140y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Little impact in a bumper/trio of maiden hurdles in Ireland, though needs a precautionary check in the betting having joined an upwardly-mobile yard ahead of this switch to handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 12.4 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hexham 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m48y Gd 151 · HIGHER CLASS13/064C8 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1546/07C8C8 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m150y Gd 15423/07C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 17th of 19 · OR - · 2m175y Goo 1631/08C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Galway?17th21th−3
2026-07-23Wexford?8th12th−3
2026-07-06Roscommon?8th12th−3
2026-06-13Hexham47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/066/0723/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength41%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20267th66/10%14%+0.14
06/07/20268th150/10%50%+0.50
23/07/20268th300/10%42%+0.42
01/08/202617th300/10%11%+0.11