5
Huit Reflets
9yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 86
Market Rasen · 10 Pound County Racedays Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 140y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hexham | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Sedgefield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 03/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |