Woodstock City
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Market Rasen · 10 Pound County Racedays Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 140y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Nottingham | 2 | 10th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 26/08/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 02/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/12/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 08/06/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |