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8

Yanka Blue

5yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 78

Market Rasen · 10 Pound County Racedays Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 140y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 17 runs but she posted a creditable fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (2½m, good) 12 days ago. Not discounted off a 3 lb lower mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Fakenham 21/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 89 · 2m3y Sft 165 · beat its mark21/12/2025 · OR 89 par21/125OR 895 @ Ffos Las 12/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 88 · 2m4f Goo 159 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 88 par5 @ Fakenham 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 86 · 2m7f95y Gd 162 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 86 par4/055OR 865 @ Newton Abbot 13/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 86 · 2m2f110y Gd 154 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 86 par5 @ Stratford 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 79 · 2m2f148y Goo 149 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 79 par30/065OR 795 @ Stratford 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 2m2f148y GF 143 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 77 par5 @ Newton Abbot 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 2m2f110y Goo 148 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 77 par19/075OR 775 @ Sedgefield 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 79 · 2m178y Goo 151 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 79 par5 @ Sedgefield 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 78 · 2m3f188y Goo 146 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 78 par14/095OR 78projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Sedgefield54th4th0
2026-09-09Sedgefield50
2026-08-28Sedgefield57th7th0
2026-07-19Newton Abbot52nd2nd0
2026-07-12Stratford52nd2nd0
2026-06-30Stratford55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1213/0519/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength61%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20252nd7/282%86%+0.04
12/04/20269th11/142%27%-0.15
04/05/20266th18/15%0%-0.05
13/05/20266th28/10%17%+0.17
30/06/20265th66/10%56%+0.56
12/07/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
19/07/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
28/08/20267th9/488%33%-0.55
14/09/20264th12/137%67%+0.30