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3

Edelak

4yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 132

Market Rasen · Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful winner on Flat. Won 5 of his 6 completed hurdle starts since joining Dan Skelton, jumping fluently/improving on the figures when making every yard in another small-field event at Newton Abbot (17f) last time. Step up in class could foil his bid for a second hat-trick of the year.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength1%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 20/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 13420/07C8C8 @ Galway 30/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 87 · 1m4f43y Yie 155 · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 87 par1 @ Aintree 06/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m209y Sft 154 · HIGHER CLASS6/1214 @ Market Rasen 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 1524 @ Huntingdon 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m7f171y Goo 15219/0543 @ Stratford 16/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 111 · 2m70y Goo 156 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 111 par4 @ Uttoxeter 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 118 · 1m7f168y Goo 161 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 118 par28/064OR 1183 @ Stratford 19/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 118 · 2m70y GF 160 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 118 par3 @ Newton Abbot 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 124 · 2m167y Gd 168 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 124 par7/093OR 124projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Newton Abbot31st2nd−1
2026-07-19Stratford31st2nd−1
2026-07-12Stratford4−2
2026-06-28Uttoxeter41st3rd−2
2026-06-16Stratford31st2nd−1
2026-05-19Huntingdon41st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/078/0528/067/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20255th4/179%50%-0.29
30/07/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
06/12/20256th4/179%17%-0.62
08/05/20262nd2/799%89%-0.10
19/05/20261st2/999%100%+0.01
16/06/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
28/06/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
19/07/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
07/09/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06