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Inappropriate

5yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 112

Market Rasen · Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful winner on the Flat prior to capitalising on a lenient hurdle mark in smooth style at Perth last time, the form not working out as well as might have been expected. Still on a handy mark for his capable yard, though perhaps not enough in hand to win a race this competitive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 24/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 76 · 1m2f42y Std 126 · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 76 par24/024OR 763 @ Fakenham 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 111 · 2m3y Goo 158 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 111 par4 @ Newcastle 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 107 · 2m190y Gd 155 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 107 par11/044OR 1074 @ Aintree 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 107 · 2m209y Gd 166 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 107 par4 @ Carlisle 24/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 75 · 1m3f39y GF 133 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 75 par24/064OR 755 @ Ayr 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m5f26y Goo 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Musselburgh 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 1m7f217y Gd 135 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 75 par31/075OR 754 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 76 · 2m2f28y Gd 135 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Perth 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 106 · 2m47y Gd 155 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 106 par7/094OR 106projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Perth41st3rd−2
2026-08-25Musselburgh48th10th−2
2026-07-31Musselburgh51st5th−3
2026-07-13Ayr52nd6th−3
2026-06-24Carlisle43rd5th−2
2026-05-15Aintree46th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0215/0531/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength57%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/02/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
13/03/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
11/04/20262nd20/10%80%+0.80
15/05/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
24/06/20263rd66/10%78%+0.78
13/07/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
31/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
25/08/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
07/09/20261st15/261%100%+0.39