Indemnity
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 137
Market Rasen · Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 1 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Plumpton | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Kempton | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Newbury | 1 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 05/05/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 09/05/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |