Indian River
4yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 135
Market Rasen · Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Aintree | 1 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | 1 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sedgefield | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Wetherby | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-21 | Catterick | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-01 | Roscommon | ? | 5th | 12th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.46 |
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |