Saligo Bay
8yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 119
Market Rasen · Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y
#9
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Cartmel | 3 | −1 | ||
| 2026-08-02 | Chester | 4 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Musselburgh | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Windsor | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Haydock | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 16/01/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 02/08/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.51 |