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9

Squeezebox

7yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 118

Market Rasen · Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 125y

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course novice winner who's proved more amenable this season. Followed his stylish reappearance success with a solid 6¼ lengths third in a briskly-run Summer Hurdle here. Didn't have the run of things at Perth last time and is weighted to go close in a race that should pan out more favourably.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength24%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 03/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 74 · 1m3f179y Goo 134 · below its mark03/06/2025 · OR 74 par3/065OR 744 @ Beverley 24/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m1f207y GF 130 · beat its mark24/06/2025 · OR 73 par5 @ Beverley 05/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 72 · 1m1f207y Goo 134 · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 72 par5/075OR 724 @ Market Rasen 16/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 1544 @ Warwick 23/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m Goo 16123/0944 @ Fakenham 17/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m3y Gd 1634 @ Southwell 02/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 111 · 1m7f182y Goo 161 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 111 par2/064OR 1112 @ Market Rasen 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 119 · 2m125y Gd 154 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 119 par2 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 119 · 2m47y Gd 158 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 119 par15/082OR 119projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Perth25th5th0
2026-07-18Market Rasen23rd3rd0
2026-06-02Southwell41st3rd−2
2025-10-17Fakenham41st3rd−2
2025-09-23Warwick45th7th−2
2025-08-16Market Rasen41st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0616/082/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/06/20255th4/179%20%-0.59
24/06/20254th28/10%57%+0.57
05/07/20254th11/486%40%-0.46
16/08/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
23/09/20255th12/137%43%+0.06
17/10/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
02/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
18/07/20263rd16/116%83%+0.68
15/08/20265th9/276%43%-0.33