7

Annie Don
7yo Mare · 10-4 · OR 74
Market Rasen · Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 16y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | Catterick | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-11 | Huntingdon | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Worcester | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Warwick | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-14 | Warwick | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-14 | Doncaster | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2024 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 24/10/2024 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 16/11/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/03/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/04/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 23/09/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 15/10/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |