Illico De Montave
8yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 71
Market Rasen · Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 16y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Worcester | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Worcester | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-10 | Stratford | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-02-17 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-11-05 | Warwick | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 02/04/2024 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/05/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/11/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/02/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 10/03/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 20/08/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |