3
Matoury
7yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 90
Market Rasen · Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 16y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Cartmel | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Market Rasen | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Market Rasen | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Market Rasen | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Catterick | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-26 | Market Rasen | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 16/08/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |