5

Traveling Soldier
8yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 86
Market Rasen · Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 16y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Worcester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Perth | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-03 | Plumpton | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-26 | Worcester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 23/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 12/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 06/07/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |