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6yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 83

Market Rasen · Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 16y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winner over hurdles towards the end of 2025 but has disappointed since, including over fences.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Market Rasen 16/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS16/0844 @ Sedgefield 04/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 85 · 2m3f188y Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 85 par5 @ Hexham 03/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 83 · 2m4f28y Goo 155 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 83 par3/105OR 835 @ Market Rasen 13/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 2m7f16y Goo 158 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 87 par5 @ Musselburgh 08/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 87 · 2m7f180y Sft 152 · beat its mark08/12/2025 · OR 87 par8/125OR 875 @ Wetherby 22/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 91 · 3m26y Sft 160 · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 91 par5 @ Market Rasen 05/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 90 · 2m7f16y Gd 156 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 90 par5/075OR 904 @ Market Rasen 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 88 · 2m7f191y Gd 146 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 88 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 87 · 2m7f32y Gd 155 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 87 par8/095OR 87projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Bangor-on-Dee56th6th0
2026-08-28Sedgefield50
2026-07-18Market Rasen44th3rd+1
2026-07-05Market Rasen512th12th0
2026-02-05Doncaster50
2026-01-22Wetherby56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0813/115/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20255th50/10%33%+0.33
04/09/20256th25/10%38%+0.38
03/10/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
13/11/20252nd11/271%83%+0.12
08/12/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
22/01/20266th5/174%38%-0.36
05/07/202612th11/142%0%-0.42
18/07/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
08/09/20266th28/10%29%+0.29