English Painter
6yo Horse · 8-9 · OR 85
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |