Mr. Mendelssohn
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 22/02/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 03/05/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 15/06/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 28/06/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 25/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |