
Pretorian Gold
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 78
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Penn National | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |