2

Pretorian Gold

5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 78

Meadowlands · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Penn National 23/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 90 · 5f Yie 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/07/2025 · OR 90 par23/07C7OR 90C5 @ Penn National 27/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2025 · OR 89 parC7 @ Delaware Park 10/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 89 · 1m110y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/09/2025 · OR 89 par10/09C7OR 89C5 @ Penn National 25/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 90 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 90 parC7 @ Delaware Park 08/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 91 · 1m70y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 91 par8/10C7OR 91C6 @ Laurel Park 24/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 89 parC6 @ Penn National 13/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 86 par13/11C6OR 86C7 @ Delaware Park 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 91 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Delaware Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 80 par12/09C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Delaware Park?7th7th0
2026-07-23Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2025-11-13Penn National?8th6th+2
2025-10-24Laurel Park?7th5th+2
2025-10-08Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2025-09-25Penn National?1st-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0725/0913/1112/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength56%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20257th11/271%33%-0.38
27/08/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
10/09/20252nd10/382%83%+0.01
25/09/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
08/10/20254th10/147%57%+0.10
24/10/20257th25/10%25%+0.25
13/11/20258th10/147%0%-0.47
23/07/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
12/09/20267th15/261%45%-0.15